Opinion: Economist’s view on where cuts will fall

Grant Prior 16 years ago
Share

Allen Wilen, economics director at construction industry contract monitoring service Glenigan,tells the Enquirer what sectors are under threat from the new public spending regime:

“The full implications for the construction industry, along with the rest of the country, will take time to emerge with the planned emergency Budget and the subsequent Comprehensive Spending Review.

“However key messages are already clear, with tackling the Budget deficit the most pressing priority.

“The new Government is committed to implementing the £6 billion of additional cuts this year promised in the Conservatives manifesto.

“Whilst this may in part be delivered by the axing of cherished Labour programmes such as ID cards, public sector capital expenditure programmes are likely to be regarded as a relatively easy target.

“Construction related areas, from the schools building programme to Crossrail, will be vulnerable to both explicit spending cuts and to cuts by stealth as protracted ‘policy reviews’ push back planned spending into future years

“Longer term the squeeze on the public sector investment is likely to be less severe than would have been the case under a simple Conservative majority government.

“Nevertheless given the pressure on Government finances, the new Government is likely to be keen to develop private sector funding models to secure deliver planned projects.

“In addition, changes in Government policy are set to block specific areas of private sector investment.

“Given both Conservative and Liberal Democrat opposition, BAA’s plans for a third runway at Heathrow and the expansion of airport capacity in south east England appear especially doubtful.

“In other areas, such as the need for new nuclear generation capacity, the Liberal Democrats are at odds with the Conservatives and progress is likely to be slow at best.

“The Conservative party has argued for effective action to cut public spending and tackle the budget deficit in order to reassure financial markets and nurture a private sector lead recovery.

“The new Government will have to demonstrate to financial markets that it will have the strength and longevity to deliver the promised overall reduction in the budget deficit.

“Furthermore there is a risk that continued political uncertainty could undermine consumer and business confidence and hamper the pace of economic recovery.

“There have already been tentative signs that the upturn in the housing market faltered ahead of the general election, with the number of mortgage approvals for house purchase sluggish during first four months of 2010.

“Any apparent political indecision could be replicated in the housing market, dampening the anticipated recovery in new housing activity over next twelve months.”

Latest news

Legendre to start £70m Mayfair office revamp

Main construction begins in June at 50 Stratton Street site
2 hours ago

Road worker loses leg in milling machine

Court hears how worker became entangled in machine while road planing
22 minutes ago

Costain on track for 4% margin as workload builds

Contractor expects revenue and profit growth this year ahead of bigger 2027 uplift
5 hours ago

Falkirk steelwork firm workers protest after wages fail to land

Workers gather at Hescott Engineering as fears grow over firm’s future
5 hours ago

Ageing M53 bridges first in line for £1bn motorway structures repair

Four bridge decks to be replaced in three-year Merseyside and Cheshire upgrade
5 hours ago

Landsec flags more delays on major housing starts

Developer waiting for policy concessions to make schemes more profitable
5 hours ago

Plans in for £100m Buxton town centre reboot

Capital&Centric finalises plan for Spring shopping centre redevelopment
5 hours ago

Ex-Skanska VP joins M Group as energy infrastructure chief

Former COO Andrew English brought in to drive sector growth
23 hours ago

Vistry warns first-half profits to be hit by discount drive

New Vistry chief starts operational review as cash drive shifts private homes stock
1 day ago

Strabag UK gears up for civils work surge next year

Trio of major tunnelling jobs to drive revenue to £1bn target
1 day ago

Glencar revealed as builder of £50m Minecraft World

Contractor confirmed on latest attraction at Chessington World of Adventures
1 day ago

King’s speech building safety bill puts manufacturers in firing line

Government aims for new powers to make construction product firms contribute to remediation costs
21 hours ago

TfL names trio for £700m station upgrade framework

Amey Rail, Costain and Dragados secure places on London stations deal
1 day ago

Quinn London sold to staff

£109m turnover contractor latest to transition to an Employee Ownership Trust
2 days ago

More fines and bans for former Carillion chiefs

Finance chiefs and trio of accountants hit with penalties
2 days ago

Fusion21 starts race for £350m housing repairs framework

Firms face fight to retain spots on third-generation repairs and voids deal
2 days ago

London builder Curo Construction ceases trading

Directors write to up to 100 staff telling them not to return to sites
2 days ago

Vistry gets £600m Olympic Park homes go-ahead

First 355-home phase approved at Pudding Mill Lane in Stratford approved
2 days ago

Fox snaps up highways contractor and readymix firm

DSD Construction and Moore Readymix acquisitions dig group deeper into civils
3 days ago

Kier and Multiplex line up for Derwent London office starts

Developer presses button on two West End schemes as leasing demand and rents strengthen
2 days ago

McLaren lands £99m London Bond Street over-station job

Retrofit-led West One Shopping Centre will retain 60% of existing concrete frame
2 days ago

£26bn Pagabo developer framework goes live for bidders

Four-year framework targets councils, NHS trusts and housing providers
2 days ago

Starmer confirms plan to nationalise British Steel

Plan could clear way for greener electric arc furnace produce steel in five years
3 days ago

Cardo gains place on L&Q’s £3bn home upgrade programme

Housing body expands delivery line-up for 15-year investment plan
3 days ago

Ardmore loses High Court appeal bid to halt £14.9m Crest payout

Judge refuses appeal route and gives no extra time to pay
3 days ago

Taylor Woodrow scoops £856m HS2 control centre mega job

HS2 Washwood Heath nerve centre to cost more than treble original budget
4 days ago

Keltbray scales down as revenue drops

£1m spent on redundancies as London commercial market slows
3 days ago

East London council £500m housing major works drive

Fire safety, M&E and refurbishment works lined up across borough housing stock
3 days ago

Panattoni plans 23-acre scheme in Wakefield

Construction to start this quarter on logistics development
3 days ago

Kori lands latest deal for Care UK

Demolition work to start this week on £12m contract
3 days ago