No construction recovery until 2014

Aaron Morby 13 years ago
Share

Construction will go into sharp decline next year falling by 3.6% and not show any signs of real recovery until 2014.

The latest forecast from the Construction Products Association is the bleakest yet from the trade body, which has revised down its previous output predictions.

The CPA said more than £32bn of construction output had been lost since the start of the financial crisis in 2007.

It predicted construction activity will fall 1.1% this year, before diving 3.6% in 2012 and flatlining at  zero growth in 2013.

The forecast piles pressure on Government to come up with fresh measures to stimulate construction in the forthcoming Autumn spending statement if it is to prevent the economy slipping into a double dip recession.

CPA chief executive Michael Ankers said: “Although government is committed to cut capital expenditure by 20% over the next four years, the hoped-for robust recovery from the private sector, to compensate for these cuts, is not materialising.

“Recovery finally arrives in 2014, but by then we will have experienced the worst decline in construction activity for more than 30 years.

“It is essential that more is done by government to kick start the economic recovery.

“Despite the government’s desire to support housing recovery, housing starts in 2012 will be the second lowest year since 1945. Private sector housing is slowly recovering.

“Unfortunately public sector housing starts are forecast to fall by a third, leading to an overall reduction in the total number of housing starts in 2011 and 2012.

“By the end of the forecast period we will have a shortfall of more than two million homes in the UK,” predicted Ankers.

The CPA said that even with Government attempts to stimulate house building, private housing starts are forecast to be only 137,500 in 2015, well down on 230,000 pre-recession levels.

Rail and energy infrastructure investments were rare bright spots with growth expected to nearly double and treble, respectively over the forecast period.

Latest news

Historic property magazine to close

Estates Gazette has been in business since 1858
14 hours ago

M&S Marble Arch rebuild approved after three-year planning fight

Plans were delayed when Michael Gove backed carbon campaigners
2 days ago

£191m revamp funding approved for London Barbican Centre

Construction to start in 2027 on five-year programme
1 day ago

RED Construction tops £100m turnover

Builder maintains profit margin at 1.7% as business nearly doubles in size
22 hours ago

Timber designs shortlisted for roads ‘footbridge of the future’

Three of five designs for National Highways propose timber structures over busy highways
22 hours ago

PM pledges to fast-track 150 infrastructure schemes

Fresh promise to speed up planning decisions on infrastructure and house building
2 days ago

Amey FM firm fined after legionella kills prisoner

Court fines company £600,000 for prison upkeep failures
22 hours ago

Buyers report boom in commercial work

Construction bucks slowdown in general economy
2 days ago

Plans in for £250m Stockport 8 housing-led scheme

Work to start on phase 1 by the end of next year
2 days ago

Galliford Try tops monthly contracts league

Contract awards slow down in November
2 days ago

Erith explosives set demolition record at Sizewell

Watch blast at former nuclear turbine hall: Video
2 days ago

Vistry to build 950 homes next to Olympic Park

Developer signed for £600m Pudding Mill Lane scheme in East London
2 days ago

Inflatable formwork used for 45m tall cement silo

Ground-breaking dome silo inflated at Tilbury Docks
2 days ago

Briggs & Forrester sells maintenance arm

100 engineers to move over to new owner
3 days ago

£2bn Edinburgh ‘West Town’ scheme approved

7,000 homes to be built at 205-acre site
3 days ago

Rayner approves Lancashire super prison

Communities secretary overrules planning inspector for 1,700 inmate prison.
3 days ago

Wates boss returns after collapse of his own contractor

Paul Nicholls was head of the failed Real construction group
4 days ago

Trio secure Birmingham deal to retrofit 3,000 homes a year

Specialist contractors to install insulation, efficient heating and solar panels
3 days ago

Costain confirms £400m HS2 tunnels win

Work to start early next year on tunnel and lineside mechanical and electrical systems
3 days ago

First nuclear reactor installed at Hinkley: Video

Watch precision operation at Somerset site
3 days ago

Winner named for Harbourside revamp

Local Irvine contractor to start transformation of beach front
3 days ago

New Fair Payment Code goes live today

Latest bid to get subcontractors and suppliers paid within 30 days
4 days ago

Lincolnshire concrete supplier files administration notice

Ever Readymix Concrete & Screed operates three depots and a fleet of 20 trucks
4 days ago

Graham lands first deal on Liverpool’s largest brownfield site

Contractor bags infrastructure package on 10.5 hectare site
5 days ago

Bouygues UK boss to step down

Fabienne Viala to leave after eight years at the helm
5 days ago

Galliford Try scoops £87m brace of London jobs

Firm will redevelop a prominent corner building on Sloane Street in Chelsea
4 days ago

New HS2 boss Mark Wild starts amid prep for final TBM drives

Former Crossrail CEO starts with a sharp focus on controlling costs
5 days ago

Ten consultants land Thames Water major upgrade places

Firms will share £400m of fee work over next five years
5 days ago

Rayner ultimatum to fix all unsafe tall buildings by 2029

Recladding work must start on all 18m+ resi buildings by 2027
5 days ago

ISG administrator finds just £35m to pay down £1.1bn debt

Failed firm was set to report £148m blackhole from legacy jobs
5 days ago

Contractor services