Another gloomy trade survey released today by the Construction Products Association added to the sense of pessimism in the industry.
But UK Contractors Group director Stephen Ratcliffe said their are encouraging signs that the Government is listening to pleas to free up cash for “shovel ready” projects.
He said: “Providing certainty over the pipeline of forward public sector programmes and working with the industry to get shovel ready projects underway, would be the most helpful thing government could do in the wake of these results.
“That is certainly a message that has been picked up by the Prime Minister and the Chancellor and UKCG hopes there will be more positive news for the industry in the wake of the Autumn statement.’
The CPA survey shows an industry hit hard by the toxic mix of falling demand and rising costs.
Noble Francis, Economics Director at the association said: “Construction output weakened in Q3 and order levels were depressed across the board which is bad news for the industry.
“On the products side, sales of the products that are typically used in the early stages of the construction process fell significantly largely due to the sizeable cuts in public sector capital investment, which are now beginning to feed through.
“Furthermore, the private sector shows no signs of being able to take up the slack with contractors’ new orders for private sector work being equally depressed.
“All of these factors are reflected in the Association’s latest forecasts, which expect construction output to fall by1.1% in 2011 and 3.6% in 2012, with no return to growth until 2014.”
Key survey findings include:
· Product manufacturers’ confidence regarding the future has dramatically decreased due to the marked change in trading conditions in Q3 with 44% of heavy side firms now expecting sales to reduce next year compared to just 14% three months earlier. Also fewer light side manufacturers now foresee growth in 2012.
· Two-thirds of medium and large contractors reported that activity was either stable or lower than at the same time last year.
· SME builders reported that workload declined for the 15th consecutive quarter which is especially significant given that 70% of industry output is generated by firms employing less than 299 people.
· Cash flow is now a real concern with only 2% of specialist contractors having received payment within 30 days in Q3.