Construction output dives to 15-year low

Aaron Morby 13 years ago
Share

Construction out fell to a 15-year low in the first three months of the year, down 2.4% on the previous quarter at the end of 2012.

The extent of the fall was first flagged up in the GDP figures last week but more details have now emerged of the major hit on new output, which fell by £500m or 3.2%.

There were falls in almost all sectors of the industry, with the exception of private housing repair and maintenance which showed a modest increase of 0.4%.

Private commercial other new work, which accounts for 22% of total output, is now 38% below its peak in 2008 and at its lowest level since Q4 1997.

Other new work excludes the housing and infrastructure sectors but includes construction of factories, warehouses, schools and offices.

Output 2013 Q1

Comparing the first three months to a year ago construction output decreased by 6.5%. New work was lower by 7.8% with large falls in public other new work and private-commercial other new work, which reported decreases of 19.2% and 7.8% respectively.

There was also a 4.1% decrease in repair and maintenance, mainly due to a 6.9% fall in the repair and maintenance of housing.

Simon Rawlinson, head of strategic research, EC Harris, said:  “The contrast with last week’s better than expected GDP data only serves to emphasise the continuing plight of the industry and the disconnect from any emerging recovery seen in the services sector.

“Recent profit warnings from Balfour Beatty and Morgan Sindall are a further indication of the impact the continuing downturn on the health of the industry.”

He said: “Activity fell in all new build sectors over the quarter.  This is not a good sign, but much of this decline will have been weather related, and the monthly data from March shows a substantial rebound in private housing, infrastructure and commercial as contractors sought to make up for lost time.

“Improved new orders data from the end of 2012 suggested that activity levels may start to edge up – albeit at a very modest clip.

“There is little sign of acceleration yet, but given encouraging sounds from the house builders and low levels of investment elsewhere in the UK economy, residential construction may well turn out to be the brightest of a set of otherwise dull sectors in during 2013.”

Andrew Duncan, managing director of property at the global programme management consultancy Turner & Townsend, said: “After a brief burst of growth at the end of last year, the construction industry started 2013 with high hopes.

“In the event it leapt out of the blocks and sprinted backwards. The numbers are now truly dire – and the construction industry will surely reclaim its position as the fall guy of the British economy.

“With total output now lower than at any time for nearly a decade and half, the news is bleak across nearly all sectors of the industry.

“The government’s hopes of the private sector pumping desperately needed money into infrastructure and helping the economy build its way to recovery look more improbable by the day.

“On this evidence, the first quarter’s growth in GDP happened in spite of, not thanks to, construction.

“But for all that, in April we have seen some signs of improving activity at the very front end of the industry. But the pipeline is long, and it will take a long time for this to translate into significant growth.

“The industry has been forced to accept these tough conditions as the new norm, and has adapted accordingly.

“As the big players are being forced to pitch for smaller projects, those in the “squeezed middle” are having to slash margins to negligible levels – and in the most extreme cases, some firms are pitching for work at below cost, simply to keep cash-flow coming in.

“This is clearly unsustainable in the long term. The one consolation for the industry is that the worst may be over.

“But after falling so far, it has a long way to go to get back on its feet.”

Latest news

Formwork panel hits Hinkley worker after falling 29 metres

Improvement notices issued by nuclear regulator extended
6 hours ago

Focus on growing markets pays off for Balfour Beatty

Strong set of half-year results with momentum expected to continue for 2026
19 hours ago

Ardmore directors fight to save property firms with CVA plan

Seven firms seek CVA lifeline as Ardmore fights BLO ruling in Court of Appeal
20 hours ago

Investment giant acquires Phoenix ME

Deal set to accelerate growth strategy at M&E specialist
2 days ago

Structure Tone revenue almost triples to record £449m

London fit-out boom swells order book to £1.3bn
19 hours ago

Kier inks second Derwent London office scheme for £99m

Firm lands repeat business on flagship Oxford Street redevelopment
21 hours ago

Hill hires former Telford Homes boss

John Fitzgerald to oversee Eastern Residential and Western businesses
20 hours ago

Willmott Dixon kicks off Oldham town centre regen

Firm picked for £28m first phase of Prince's Gate for developer Muse
21 hours ago

VINCI UK profit jumps 51% after group overhaul

Highways, civils and FM Conway acquisition lift earnings as turnover approaches £3bn
2 days ago

Clancy Consulting administration move sheds historic liabilities

70 jobs safeguarded as core civil and structural engineering business survives
2 days ago

Multiplex gets start date for City Road 36-storey tower

Main construction to get underway this quarter
3 days ago

Bellway beats build target despite weaker buyer demand

CEO calls for Stamp Duty cuts and first-time buyer help to revive housing market
2 days ago

Trade credit insurer could cut cover for Vistry suppliers

Allianz Trade reportedly reduces credit limits as house builder battles to cut £470m net debt
3 days ago

Bricklayer breaks back after falling through roof

Contractor fined £20,000 for safety failures
2 days ago

M&E specialist ACES files administration notice

Avon Combined Electrical Services expanded into the capital last year to win larger jobs
3 days ago

Portsmouth picks ECF for 2,300-home city centre regeneration

Council finally advances ambitious City Centre North regen plan
3 days ago

Newcastle office block plan unveiled

12-storey scheme to be latest addition to One Founders Place
3 days ago

Eric Wright to start £65m Tebay-style M56 services

Yates starts groundworks on Cheshire motorway services
3 days ago

Plans in for retrofit of London Charing Cross office icon

Major retrofit plan keeps 90% of iconic 1990s office building
3 days ago

Higgins lands Brentford estate revamp

Construction to start this autumn on 182-home scheme
3 days ago

Kier bags biggest sewage treatment job yet

Firm signs ECI deal on £265m Thames Water AMP8 treatment works upgrade
6 days ago

Plan in for 53-storey Birmingham build to rent tower

42 High Street tower near the Bullring could be Birmingham's tallest building
6 days ago

HG seals hat-trick of Gateway 2 project approvals

Bristol, Manchester and London schemes will deliver 664 homes and student beds
6 days ago

Farrans to build new Stansted skylink walkways

Sections to be built "offsite" in vacant airport hangar
6 days ago

Ceiling specialist Zentia went down owing suppliers £5.6m

Unsecured creditors left holding worthless invoices
6 days ago

Mears secures £4.2bn pipeline after contract winning spree

Housing upkeep giant lands £1.4bn of work as Birmingham deal leads bumper order book
7 days ago

Construction buyers see first signs of a turnaround

July data shows construction market starting to stabilise
7 days ago

£90m bid race for iconic Foster museum revamp

UAE's Sainsbury Centre museum to get new envelope and low-carbon building services
7 days ago

Persimmon sharpens axe on costs as inflation threat grows

Builder targets procurement savings as inflation clouds outlook
7 days ago

Multiplex tops contracts league with £400m office job

July order haul among Top 50 contractors edges up 3.5% in July
7 days ago