Construction output dives to 15-year low

Aaron Morby 11 years ago
Share

Construction out fell to a 15-year low in the first three months of the year, down 2.4% on the previous quarter at the end of 2012.

The extent of the fall was first flagged up in the GDP figures last week but more details have now emerged of the major hit on new output, which fell by £500m or 3.2%.

There were falls in almost all sectors of the industry, with the exception of private housing repair and maintenance which showed a modest increase of 0.4%.

Private commercial other new work, which accounts for 22% of total output, is now 38% below its peak in 2008 and at its lowest level since Q4 1997.

Other new work excludes the housing and infrastructure sectors but includes construction of factories, warehouses, schools and offices.

Output 2013 Q1

Comparing the first three months to a year ago construction output decreased by 6.5%. New work was lower by 7.8% with large falls in public other new work and private-commercial other new work, which reported decreases of 19.2% and 7.8% respectively.

There was also a 4.1% decrease in repair and maintenance, mainly due to a 6.9% fall in the repair and maintenance of housing.

Simon Rawlinson, head of strategic research, EC Harris, said:  “The contrast with last week’s better than expected GDP data only serves to emphasise the continuing plight of the industry and the disconnect from any emerging recovery seen in the services sector.

“Recent profit warnings from Balfour Beatty and Morgan Sindall are a further indication of the impact the continuing downturn on the health of the industry.”

He said: “Activity fell in all new build sectors over the quarter.  This is not a good sign, but much of this decline will have been weather related, and the monthly data from March shows a substantial rebound in private housing, infrastructure and commercial as contractors sought to make up for lost time.

“Improved new orders data from the end of 2012 suggested that activity levels may start to edge up – albeit at a very modest clip.

“There is little sign of acceleration yet, but given encouraging sounds from the house builders and low levels of investment elsewhere in the UK economy, residential construction may well turn out to be the brightest of a set of otherwise dull sectors in during 2013.”

Andrew Duncan, managing director of property at the global programme management consultancy Turner & Townsend, said: “After a brief burst of growth at the end of last year, the construction industry started 2013 with high hopes.

“In the event it leapt out of the blocks and sprinted backwards. The numbers are now truly dire – and the construction industry will surely reclaim its position as the fall guy of the British economy.

“With total output now lower than at any time for nearly a decade and half, the news is bleak across nearly all sectors of the industry.

“The government’s hopes of the private sector pumping desperately needed money into infrastructure and helping the economy build its way to recovery look more improbable by the day.

“On this evidence, the first quarter’s growth in GDP happened in spite of, not thanks to, construction.

“But for all that, in April we have seen some signs of improving activity at the very front end of the industry. But the pipeline is long, and it will take a long time for this to translate into significant growth.

“The industry has been forced to accept these tough conditions as the new norm, and has adapted accordingly.

“As the big players are being forced to pitch for smaller projects, those in the “squeezed middle” are having to slash margins to negligible levels – and in the most extreme cases, some firms are pitching for work at below cost, simply to keep cash-flow coming in.

“This is clearly unsustainable in the long term. The one consolation for the industry is that the worst may be over.

“But after falling so far, it has a long way to go to get back on its feet.”

Latest news

Morgan Sindall to build former Willmott Dixon leisure job

New contractor appointed on
20 hours ago

Graham consortium wins £400m Manchester job

Equitix consortium to now work up DBFO plans for University of Manchester’s Fallowfield Campus
16 hours ago

Keltbray looking to sell infrastructure business

£378m turnover rail, energy and highways business up for sale
1 day ago

Innovative viaduct building method used for first time in UK

HS2 contractors will build nine viaducts in Delta Junction using special cantilevered process
1 day ago

Unite buys London site to fast-track 444-bed student scheme

£800m to be spent on London development pipeline in next five years
1 day ago

CITB awards £2.5m of contracts to management consultant

Three outsourced deals in the last year for "project leadership and management consultancy"
1 day ago

Village centre approved for 6,000-home new town plan

Hampshire's Welborne Garden Village plan has been in the pipeline for two decades.
1 day ago

£3m fine after cherry picker demolition death

Court rules after tragedy during decommissioning of gas rig
1 day ago

BAM plans wave of job cuts at UK Construction arm

Co-op Live arena plunges Bam Construction to £19.5m first-half loss
2 days ago

Robot tunnel builder goes into administration

Hypertunnel was hoping to revolutionise how underground structures are built
2 days ago

Wates to build £86m Guildford Council housing scheme

40% of the 248 homes will become council homes under partnership deal
2 days ago

“Scrap CITB” say three quarters of construction firms

Payroll giant Hudson Contract calls for CITB to be absorbed into new Skills England training body
2 days ago

£100m Prestwich Village revival approved

Vinci and Willmott Dixon in chase for Muse-led regeneration scheme
3 days ago

Carbon negative asphalt aggregate trialled on M11

Skanska and Tarmac test CO2 absorbing aggregate material on stretch of Essex motorway
2 days ago

Father and son sentenced over covid construction loan fraud

Bristol builders given suspended jail sentences over bogus Bounce Back Loans
2 days ago

Beck Interiors files administration notice

Supply chain has suffered delayed payments from £139m-turnover luxury fit out specialist
3 days ago

Green light for York Central civil service office hub

£60m office project accelerates York Central goods yard redevelopment
3 days ago

Blenheim House Construction enters administration

Administrators looking at options on present projects
4 days ago

Profits rise at Esh Group with more to come

Contractor confident about year ahead as market conditions move in right direction
3 days ago

Piling specialist Van Elle sees housing orders rise 30%

Mark Cutler says firm on course to deliver 10% annual sales growth
3 days ago

HS2 to spend £100m shutting sites where work never started

Remediation of sites no longer needed for cancelled Phase 2 will take three years
4 days ago

Willmott Dixon wins £61m deal for new Army dog unit

Contractor to revamp Kendrew Barracks in Rutland
3 days ago

Stockport advances 4,000-home Town Centre East plan

Council seeks consultants to steer plan for 280-acre area in the city
3 days ago

ISG sale imminent as buyers set-up UK holding company

South African nutrition entrepreneur and Australian partner primed to take over
4 days ago

CR Construction wins £210m Manchester towers

Construction to start next year on four blocks ranging from nine to 34-storeys
4 days ago

Southern Housing to rationalise supply chain following merger

Firms put on alert for £1.7bn construction framework renewal
4 days ago

Decision delayed on 52-storey Isle of Dogs tower

Hong Kong developer plans 460 flats block next to Millwall Inner Dock
4 days ago

Go-ahead for £850m North London estate rebuild

Flagship Edmonton housing estate redevelopment will deliver 2,000 new homes
4 days ago

Mace lands £184m Oxford Science Park contract

Contractor to build trio of laboratory and office buildings
5 days ago

Worker paralysed in 30ft fall during electricity pylon demolition

Specialist firm fined £240,000 after court hears linesman attached lanyard to a loosened steel section
4 days ago

Contractor services