Call for stimulus as construction slides into recession

Aaron Morby 7 years ago
Share

Construction is now officially in recession, according to the latest Government output figures.

It is the first time the industry has suffered a fall in output for two consecutive quarters since 2012 and has led to calls for a stimulus package in this month’s Budget.

New figures out to day show construction output contracted by 0.9% in the three-month on three-month series to September, but still remains at relatively high levels.

This fall of 0.9% for July to September follows the decline of 0.5% in the second quarter.

The slide in workloads was down to decreases in both repair and maintenance, which fell 1.4% and all new work, which fell 0.7%.

Construction output fell 1.6% month-on-month in September 2017, stemming from falls of 2.1% in repair and maintenance and 1.3% in all new work.

Despite continuing output falls since the January peak this year, construction output remains 26% above the five-year trough point in January 2013.

During the third quarter just the industrial sector and private and affordable housing experienced work growth.

Mark Robinson, Scape Group Chief Executive, said: “There has been a very positive increase in house building activity, particularly in the public sector, which has seen a very significant turnaround on the previous year. However this must be matched with new public buildings and the infrastructure projects that growing communities need to thrive.

“In the coming months we should see more of the Government’s National Infrastructure Plan pipeline projects filter through, which could help to provide certainty and stability for the industry.

“However it is essential that further funding for both small and large infrastructure projects are at top of the Chancellor’s agenda for the upcoming Budget, to keep momentum flowing and better connect our towns and cities.

“A vote of confidence from Hammond would not just benefit the industry but will also secure future UK economic growth through the Brexit transition and beyond. ”

Michael Thirkettle, chief executive of construction consulting and design agency McBains, said: “Today’s figures indicate the shadow of Brexit still looms large over the industry – the fall in the value of the pound since the EU referendum causing imported building materials costs to rise, while company and UK investors caution is holding back investment in new projects, so many contractors’ margins are shrinking.

“Confidence is in short supply and that’s certainly a thought Philip Hammond needs to grapple with in his Autumn Budget in a couple of weeks.”

Rebecca Larkin, Senior Economist at the Construction Products Association, said: “At a headline level, today’s data shouts ‘construction recession’, however, output remains at relatively high levels – 1.1% higher than a year ago and 7.1% higher than 2015 Q3.

“There is also a clear variation in performance by sector, as highlighted in the CPA’s forecasts. Private housing output rose 1.8% to a record high during the quarter, with demand and confidence sustained by the Help to Buy equity loan.

“Nevertheless, areas of weakness include private commercial, where new orders have fallen for three quarters and signal a lack of offices and retail projects to replace those now coming to an end. This is echoed in the public non-housing sector, which is suffering from lower volumes of work on schools and a dearth of new large hospitals projects.”

Latest news

Comment: Gateway is acting like a barricade

Contractors left banging their heads on an (unbuilt) brick wall
3 days ago

Final phase of £1.5bn Elephant and Castle revamp hits planning

Get Living submits revised plan for 500 homes and 450-bed student block
3 days ago

Ealing backs final phase of £1.3bn estate rebuild

Friary Park estate rebuild in Acton reaches end stage
2 days ago

Green light for scaled-down Nottingham student tower

Glasshouse Street scheme will deliver 247 student rooms
3 days ago

Aston Villa to revamp North Stand

Club to reuse existing structure rather than complete rebuild
3 days ago

Mace signs ex-ISG director to lead Euro health and tech push

Gary Sweeney to head up healthcare and life sciences consultancy arm
2 days ago

Sir Robert McAlpine claws way back into profit

Firm says return to profit and strong cash balance validates new strategy
4 days ago

Severfield to cut staff by 6% amid pricing pressure

Steelwork contractor warns of extended tighter pricing due to project delays
4 days ago

JRL completes sale of 50% stake to Malaysian giant IJM

Deal boosts balance sheet and kicks starts growth plan
4 days ago

Green light for £100m Liverpool Baltic station build

Enabling highway works to start in the autumn
4 days ago

First live tests for flying construction robots

Drones can lay construction materials at height on site
4 days ago

Three firms land £170m Gentoo Sunderland housing deal

PHS Solutions, Esh and RE:GEN to deliver 10-year home upgrade plan
4 days ago

Gateway gridlock hits build-to-rent delivery as starts nosedive

Build to rent starts plunge 18% in the capital
5 days ago

Call to shift Gateway 2 checks to end building bottleneck

"The current system isn't working but we all want to see safe buildings"
5 days ago

GBN launches £600m bid race for SMR engineer roles

Owner engineers to provide technical and assurance services
5 days ago

Wates hires ex-Homes England chief to head public sector push

Robert Stone to spearhead its public sector and national frameworks strategy
5 days ago

Acheson Construction collapse costs suppliers £8.5m

One frustrated creditor seized a telehandler after contractor went into administration
5 days ago

Dominus wins go-ahead for 173-bed Glasgow scheme

Old Wynd Street job expected to cost around £25m to build
5 days ago

Safety Regulator misses deadline to clear Gateway 2 backlog

Investors pulling out of funding high rise buildings
5 days ago

CITB still sitting on £95m cash pile

Staff numbers jump from 666 to 763 as training body wage bill soars
6 days ago

£500m road surfacing framework market call

NEPO goes out to consultation on north east regional highways deal
6 days ago

Two share £220m Scottish rail repairs and minor works deal

AmcoGiffen and CPMS win civils and building repair deals
6 days ago

Builder wanted for £60m London leisure and flats job

Tower Hamlets aims to replace St George’s Leisure Centre in Shadwell
6 days ago

Contractor confirmed for business park expansion

Roe Developments to start on next phase of Castle Donington scheme
6 days ago

Driver escapes injury as scaffold collapses onto van

Major three-lift scaffold fall blocks north London high street
2 weeks ago

Gilbert Ash to be sold to staff

£267m turnover contractor to transition to an Employee Ownership Trust
2 weeks ago

M Group seals biggest-ever deal with Telent takeover

Digital infrastructure specialist deal lifts turnover to £3bn
2 weeks ago

Aggregates firm Ashville went down owing more than £3m

Debts revealed in Companies House update
2 weeks ago

Cardo saves 100 jobs at Breyer roofing arm

Private equity-backed Welsh maintenance group continues to expand
2 weeks ago

Excavator knocked off lorry going under bridge

Traffic Commissioner inquiry after accident in south London
2 weeks ago

Contractor services