Mace doubles tender price inflation forecast

Grant Prior 3 years ago
Share

Tender prices are predicted to grow by another 3% this year as experts at Mace doubled their inflation rate predictions as materials prices continue to soar.

Mace’s latest price rise forecasts are up from 1.5% last time and next year’s predictions have also been revised by 1.5%, pushing it up to 3.5%.

Material prices were 6.6% higher in June than they were in March, with a further month-on-month jump of 4.5% in July.

The rises also factor in a domestic shortage of HGV drivers which “will continue to have an impact, not just on material and tender costs, but on delivery timescales and construction output.”

Mace’s Market View also warned that pay rates will hit tender prices with construction vacancies jumping to 38,000 in the three months to July – over 10,000 more than seen on average in the few years before the pandemic.

Steven Mason, Managing Director for Cost Consultancy at Mace, said: While there are indications that some material prices may be starting to ease, there is increasing expectation that the labour market is starting to tighten with the potential to drive costs up further.

“As market confidence and the work pipeline improves, the supply chain has become more reluctant to absorb these sustained increases in input costs.

“The underlying expectation that market activity will continue to increase as the workforce starts to return to the workplace only heightens the sense that tender prices will continue to rise as we progress towards the final quarter of the year, and we have adjusted our forecasts for 2021 upwards to reflect this.”

Consultant Turner & Townsend is warning that some projects may see inflation levels as high as 10% next year.

It added that high inflation could be a factor for the next five years before “normalising” to 4.5% in 2025.

Martin Sudweeks, UK managing director of cost management at Turner & Townsend said: “Across the UK and beyond we are seeing structural changes post-pandemic that are reshaping our communities, our places of work, and our connections between the two.

“In the face of sustained and once in a generation pressure on resources, UK construction and the sectors it supports need to recognise that inflation is likely to stay high for the medium term.

“Tried and tested routes to curbing prices, from challenging specifications to recalibrating project timetables, are not enough.  This is especially true when it comes to decarbonisation, where it is it not a case of when or whether we can afford net zero, but how we do so.

“The sector needs to adopt a more programmatic perspective on managing costs, understanding how competing agendas will interact over time and how that impacts investment performance.”

 

Get all the construction data and work-winning information you need

The Enquirer has introduced a new construction data page offering easy-to-access market intelligence to help your business.

Alongside interactive contracts leagues and daily tender invites, it helps you make informed business decisions with coverage of breaking economic news, latest workload and tender prices forecasts.

There is also a snapshot of current freelance labour rates and a guide to the best and worst payers within the major Tier 1 contractors.

For those looking to navigate the ever-changing world of contract and employment law, lawyers at Fenwick Elliot also give you the benefit of their expert insight.

And, of course, it’s all completely free for readers.

Click here to take a look.

Latest news

Berkeley subbies face six weeks without payments

Introduction of new finance software means payment hiatus for suppliers
8 mins ago

Pagabo reveals 56 winners of latest £1.6bn retrofit deal

Decarbonisation Solutions Framework launched: Full list of winners
26 mins ago

Go-ahead for £100m Liverpool Love Lane flats

500-flat scheme will be built across four blocks in Vauxhall area of city
12 mins ago

Contractors jack 1,100t viaduct into place in 13-hour operation

158m-long composite deck structure jacked into place 10-hours ahead of schedule
14 mins ago

Wates wins former Daily Mail printworks transformation

British Land advances major cultural venue at London’s Canada Water
20 hours ago

Mace poaches Ramboll chief to be Head of Engineering

Martin Feakes will develop civil and structural engineering offer at Mace
20 hours ago

Subcontractors form alliance for major civils jobs

Trio of specialists join forces to collaborate and offer Tier 1 contractors a turnkey solution
24 hours ago

Fear of supply chain failures boosting collaboration

Procurement survey also reveals project bank account use is rising
23 hours ago

Wates sets up business to target 160,000 mouldy social homes

Healthy Homes service will be offered to social landlords across England
1 day ago

Higgins wins £75m Peabody Passive House job

Latest phase of Deptford Landings to start construction
24 hours ago

Contractors and unions agree Sizewell C working deal

New deal offers improved sick pay and parental leave over Hinkley Point deal
1 day ago

Competition chiefs win legal fight for more construction raids

High Court rules CMA officials can raid a domestic property as part of investigation
2 days ago

More Osborne companies file administration notices

Three more divisions lodge notices with court
2 days ago

McLaren wins multi-storey urban logistics contract

South London win with British Land is pioneering urban logistics hub
2 days ago

Big social housing schemes at risk over funding uncertainty

Housing associations warn uncertainty over public funding beyond 2026 is curbing new schemes
2 days ago

Kier wins Worcestershire town centre renewal

Firm secures Bromsgrove commercial and cultural hub project
2 days ago

BAM signs Kent school contract at £42m

Sevenoaks school rebuild signed off at £8m more than first estimates
2 days ago

RG Group signs £121m Newcastle rental homes job

Developer Olympian Homes advances 519 flats plan at Pottery Lane site
5 days ago

Geoffrey Osborne files administration notice

Contractor in talks to save parts of the business
5 days ago

Winners named for £260m Manchester Uni framework

B&K, Henry Bros, Graham, Robertson and Vinci among new line-up
5 days ago

Shed specialist Benniman rides out market lull

Worcestershire warehouse builder says industrial and logistics work is picking up again
5 days ago

Another contractor cleared after high profile immigration raid

Adana Construction employees were working legally on site swooped on by Home Office
5 days ago

McAleer & Rushe wants to meet new London suppliers

Contractor holding Meet the Buyer event in London: Register now
5 days ago

McAlpine signs £500m Broadgate dual towers deal

Work to start on iconic 36-storey and 21-storey towers
6 days ago

Worker rescued from collapsed four metre deep trench

Fire crews take six hours to save trapped builder near Blackwall Tunnel
6 days ago

Gove puts another major building scheme on hold

Secretary of State starts another planning fight after M&S defeat
7 days ago

Greenwich University tenders £300m framework

Up to five firms will carry out upgrade and newbuild work at three campuses
6 days ago

Work starts on Manchester 26-storey Obsidian tower

Contractor Domis starts Salboy's 10th Manchester scheme in seven years
6 days ago

Race for £1.3bn West Midlands social homes framework

The Community Housing Group reboots tender race for new build housing
6 days ago

Delancey submits £400m King’s Cross lab plans

200,000 sq ft lab/office project will be built above railway and tube tunnels just 4.5m below
7 days ago

Contractor services