Construction growth slows as recovery peters out

Grant Prior 15 years ago
Share

Construction growth has slowed to its lowest rate for eight months with only the commercial market recording a rise in activity during October.

Latest data from the Markit/CIPS Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index confirms that the construction recovery peaked in the summer and both new orders and activity are slowing.

Contractors also implemented a further round of job cuts, with future expectations also remaining relatively weak.

The index fell to a seasonally adjusted 51.6 in October, after rising to 53.8 in September. Economists had expected the index to decline to 53.0 in October.

On the index, a level above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

The figures are at odds with recent Government output data which highlighted construction as one of the main drivers of GDP growth.

Sarah Ledger, Economist at Markit and author of the report said: “Whilst the UK construction sector managed to record growth in October, it seems more evident that the current expansion has peaked.

“The month-on-month rise in new business eased once again, with constructors attributing this partly to reluctant clients that are concerned over public spending cuts and the health of the general economy.

“The slowdown in the sector was highlighted by another month of job cuts, while confidence remained at relatively low levels.

“Looking ahead therefore, it may be reasonable to assume that construction will have less of a positive impact on GDP compared to Q3.”

David Noble, Chief Executive Officer at the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply, said: “The recent growth in the construction sector seems to be petering out.

“Further declines look inevitable as nervy customers and a spendthrift public sector put firms in a precarious position.

“Construction will have to look much harder for new contracts going forward, so it’s no surprise that many are cutting jobs and reducing purchasing activity to provide a safety net against further falls.

“This data is particularly nerve-racking given the boost the construction sector gave to the overall GDP growth last quarter.

“Commercial activity may have fared less badly than in the underperforming housing market, but overall expectations of future business remain historically low. The high hopes of earlier in the year seem to have given way to dire predictions on what the future may hold.”

Latest news

Willmott Dixon wins Great Yarmouth waterfront deal

North Quay 10.5 acres mixed-use scheme to advance
18 hours ago

Care home fire trial collapses

Prosecution withdrawn against four firms including Morgan Sindall Property Services
18 hours ago

Eight take key spots on £250m Prosper framework

Housing and public building upkeep deal for North East awarded
18 hours ago

McLaren storms April contracts league with flurry of wins

Cardiff Bay Arena job headlines a series of big contract wins
22 hours ago

Balfour Beatty lifts cash forecast after strong first quarter

Contractor set to hit £1bn average monthly net cash in 2025
22 hours ago

Goldman Sachs-owned Adler & Allan buys 180-strong civils outfit

West Country's Glanville Environmental gets new owner
22 hours ago

Caddick lands first contract for £200m Skelmersdale revamp

Developer gets green light for masterplan
23 hours ago

Van Elle sells HGV fleet to haulage firm

WS Specialist Logistics pays £2.9m to take on fleet and drivers
22 hours ago

Buyers more bullish about prospects for year ahead

Residential "resilient" but commercial work a weak spot
2 days ago

Council backs first Brutalist car park-to-flats scheme

Newcastle-under-Lyme multi-storey car park to be reborn as pioneering homes scheme
2 days ago

Hinkley Point C hits peak build with 26,000 jobs

3,000 more workers to join as fit-out work ramps up
2 days ago

Over 40 firms win Wessex Water M&E minor works deal

Broad sweep of specialists picked for AMP8 programme
2 days ago

Spencer lands Scottish bridge hat-trick

Steelwork, gantries and bearing upgrades on Kessock, Forth and Tay crossings
3 days ago

Winners revealed for £1.5bn decarbonisation deal

Fusion21 confirms places for 40 firms: Full list
2 days ago

Cladding firm fined £225,000 after fatal fall

Court hears how cherry picker didn't reach all parts of repair job
2 days ago

Early call-out for Ebbsfleet Garden City infrastructure

Bidders day to set out plan for Ebbsfleet Central commercial scheme
2 days ago

Completed buildings caught-up in Gateway 2 chaos

Developer distraught after dealing with Building Safety Regulator
3 days ago

Aviva submits plans for 34-storey City office tower

Subject to planning work to start in autumn 2027
3 days ago

Murphy takes 40% stake in Aussie civils contractor

Firm enters Australasian market with stake in Sydney-based contractor Abergeldie
3 days ago

Moat seeks firm for £420m repairs and maintenance deal

15-year deal to upkeep 20,000 south east homes
3 days ago

Lynch takes over hotel for Sizewell plant operators

Hire giant now in the hotel business to guarantee accommodation for workers
3 days ago

Subcontractors wanted across Scotland

Latest Constructionline event in Glasgow: Register now
3 days ago

Six guilty of £2m bribery over Devon housing site deals

Corrupt building bosses and E.ON project chief and QS sentenced
1 week ago

1,650 former ISG staff launch legal claims

Redundancy Payment Service facing payout of more than £9m
1 week ago

Plans lodged for £1bn cancer research centre in Sutton

London Cancer Hub will deliver around 1m sq ft of lab and research space
7 days ago

London Met Uni seeks firm for £284m estate revamp

Contractor wanted to deliver capital works and FM
7 days ago

Delayed £2bn estate rebuild back on as Berkeley signs deal

Birmingham council development agreement paves way for 2028 Ladywood start
1 week ago

Tilbury Douglas boosts margin to 2.1% as profits double

Firm targets 3.5% margin by 2029 under new business plan
1 week ago

Subbies battle for fastest bricklayer title

Winchmore management team go back on the tools
1 week ago

Green light for revised McLaren Reading revamp

Mixed-use plans to transform Broad Street Mall site
7 days ago

Contractor services