Soaring energy costs to drive 5.5% tender price rise this year

Aaron Morby 3 years ago
Share

Mace is forecasting average tender prices will rise by 5.5% this year after a record jump of 7.5% in 2021.

The firm predicted a fresh round of tender price inflation would be driven by soaring energy costs, stoked by the war in Ukraine.

Matt Fitzgerald, commercial director at Mace Cost Consultancy, warned that firms would have to navigate further price volatility against a market background of slowing demand driven by rising interest rates in the face of global inflationary pressure.

“Construction orders look strong as we go through the first quarter of 2022 however this growth is likely to be tempered by geopolitical factors driving rising oil and gas prices.

“This, combined with inflation, interest rate and taxation rises will put pressure of the cost of living, the cost of borrowing and construction costs which in turn may translate into a slowing of growth in the economy over the medium term.”

Mace tender price forecast


In the near term he said: “Once again, price rises are likely to be a major problem.

“Worryingly, US lumber prices, which had eased, have been rising again and global supply chain problems have barely eased.

“Moreover, gas prices rose substantially in the second half of last year and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine temporarily pushed Brent Crude oil prices over the price of US$120 per barrel.

“This will hurt energy-intensive products such as bricks, plasterboard and glass, and given transport is an important component in numerous products, oil having risen so substantially since the start of the year will lead to more widespread worries.”

Fitzgerald also warned that Russia was a major producer of a number of key raw metals, including aluminium and copper alongside iron ore and lithium.

He said: “Another area of geopolitical concern for the UK construction industry comes from Chinese developers.

“Evergrande, the world’s most indebted property developer defaulted on its debt in December and is now in a restructuring process.

“Furthermore, work has essentially stopped at a £900m project in Battersea due to problems with a second Chinese developer. Chinese investment has long been key, particularly in London, and with little chance of other countries replacing this flow of money, the number of new projects may suffer.

Fitzgerald predicted that the confluence of further rise in tender prices and rising borrowing cost would like force developers into cancelling more schemes.

“It may not be until the second half of the year that the level of demand destruction becomes more apparent, but it now seems almost certain that some jobs which were previously feasible are cancelled or put on hold.”

 

Latest news

Civils winners revealed for £12bn National Grid high voltage work

Contractor wins complete £59bn investment programme
11 hours ago

United Living quits new-build housing as costs mount

£136m-turnover housing arm to wind down as focus shifts to core infrastructure
14 hours ago

Fight looms for £3bn West Midlands building framework

Galliford Try, Morgan Sindall and others face fight to keep CWM seats
14 hours ago

Industry anger over sudden CITB funding changes

Smaller contractors lose funding route worth £10,000 a year
14 hours ago

Plans in to transform former GSK London HQ with 2,300 homes

Landmark 13-acre scheme set to transform Brentford Great West Road campus
13 hours ago

Watch Murphy near completion of major new rail bridge

Latest video reveals progress on Greek Street bridge during 21-day train suspension
14 hours ago

Mount Anvil’s in-house builder drives results in testing market

Group development pipeline holds steady at 3,384 homes despite dip in profit
15 hours ago

Costain margin heads for 4.5% after half-year profit rise

Roads and HS2 rephasing hit transport revenues but £5.6bn forward book to support growth
2 days ago

Hinkley contractors face prosecution over rebar mesh fall

Bouygues and Laing O'Rourke face action brought by the Office for Nuclear Regulation
2 days ago

Farrans to build new £59m Paisley bridge

Work to start soon on transport project for Renfrewshire Council
2 days ago

Crown Estate hires Olympics village veteran to lead delivery push

John Nicholson to oversee £16bn portfolio’s major UK development pipeline.
2 days ago

Henry Boot gets green light for 2,500 new homes

Hallam Land division sees signs planning system is speeding-up
2 days ago

Wates inks £100m deal on first new-design prison houseblocks

HMP Onley expansion leads roll-out of new standardised design
3 days ago

£122m deal to unlock Newcastle’s last brownfield site

Land remediation funding paves way for 2,500-home Forth Yards neighbourhood
3 days ago

McLaren lands Heathrow logistics deal

1.6 hectare airport site to be transformed into modern warehouses
3 days ago

McAlpine veteran to lead T&T’s project management drive

Former Olympic Stadium lead Mike O’Donnell takes lead role with focus on major capital project delivery
3 days ago

IES snaps up Nexus Power out of administration

Utilities group strengthens expertise in 400kV jointing and offshore markets
3 days ago

Thames Water tenders £120m water main rehab deal

Company seeks 2–5 contractors for London and South East renewal works
3 days ago

Lower Thames Crossing to lead green planning reforms

New system to avoid another £100m HS2 bat tunnel
3 days ago

Mace lands latest 30-storey City of London tower

85 Gracechurch Street near Leadenhall Market to be transformed
4 days ago

Vinci gets go-ahead for £250m Stockport 8 scheme

Contractor to start first phase of 435 net zero homes next year
4 days ago

£80m bid race to convert Oxford Debenhams into labs

Crown Estate advance plan to convert former six storey department store
4 days ago

Bennett steps-in to finish Guinness Covent Garden brewery

Original fit-out contractor Beck Interiors fell into administration
4 days ago

Work-to-rule set to hit Sellafield clean-up

Action by 1,500 construction workers across 34 contractors
4 days ago

Aureos breaks ground on £45m Howden Relief Road

Yorkshire road will pave way for 2,000-home scheme
4 days ago

Oxford United win green light for £150m all-electric stadium

Planners back 16,000-seat Kidlington ground with hotel, plaza and community hub
7 days ago

Demolition record as eight cooling towers come down

Watch Brown & Mason set record at Cottam Power Station
1 week ago

Hitachi Energy named for EGL3 converter station deal

Firm to build major HVDC converter stations in Aberdeenshire and West Norfolk
7 days ago

PAS NW secures landmark £20m civils deal in Lancashire

Groundworks firm wins infrastructure for 429-home Wain Homes scheme
7 days ago

Subcontractors wanted for jobs across the South West

Register now for latest Constructionline event in Bristol
7 days ago