£7bn of construction at risk if Scots vote ‘yes’

Aaron Morby 10 years ago
Share

Over £7 billion of planned construction works could be in jeopardy if Scotland votes for independence next Thursday.

Scotland is presently benefitting from a work boom with more than £38bn of construction projects planned.

But, according to research by construction intelligence specialist Barbour ABI a fifth of these are being funded by investors based outside of Scotland.

Researchers warn that the likelihood of these projects going ahead as intended may hang in the balance depending on next week’s result.

Scotland has a higher prevalence of contracts in the infrastructure, healthcare, education and industrial sectors compared to the wider UK market. It is under-represented in the commercial, retail, residential, hotel and leisure sectors.

Michael Dall, lead economist at Barbour ABI, said:  “There are a large number of projects in the pipeline in the renewable energy sector which is subsidised by the UK-wide renewable obligation, calling these into question.

“If Scotland does choose independence, it’s likely that negotiations between UK and Scottish Governments will be prolonged and complex, posing a potential risk to both public and private sector contracts.

“With the lion’s share of planned works being funded by non-Scottish businesses, the currency question will also have a direct impact.”

Contracts research company Glenigan has seen a sharp fall in the value of projects securing planning approvals so far this year.

The value of  industrial, office and retail projects granted planning dropped by £230m.

The utilities sector has also suffered a notable decline in the first seven months of this year, with the value of approvals falling 26% compared to the same period in 2013 – a £100m deficit.

Allan Wilén, Economics Director at Glenigan, said: “The drop in activity, which follows a relative positive performance in 2013, appears to reflect investors’ temporarily deferring decisions.

“The danger is that these uncertainties persist following the referendum.

“Commenters have raised concerns that firms headquartered outside of Scotland may reassess their investment plans in the event of a yes vote next week.

“However, construction product manufactures supplying the UK market from Scotland face similar pressures.

“In the event of a yes vote it will be important that the key economic issues, from the currency to the operation of energy markets, are quickly resolved in order to provide the private sector with the confidence to press ahead with planned investments.”

Latest news

Carpenter killed by falling timber frame panels

Court fines specialist contractor £8,000 after site tragedy
28 mins ago

Road sweeper specialist files administration notice

Go Plant lodges court notice
5 hours ago

Anglian Homes rides in to finish crashed Everest contracts

Rival doubled glazed window specialist commits to complete orders
5 hours ago

Final work starts to connect super sewer to London system

End in sight with 1.5m thick concrete wall to be demolished to link-up to Lee Tunnel sewer system
5 hours ago

Legal challenge launched against £1.5bn A66 dualling

Balfour Beatty, Kier and Keltbray must now await outcome of court challenge
5 hours ago

John F Hunt wins 24-storey Battersea tower

Specialist to carry-out demolition, enabling works and RC frame construction
1 day ago

William Hare wins steelwork on £500m Broadgate towers

Specialist to work on 2 Finsbury Avenue with McAlpine
1 day ago

McAlpine appoints MD to grow ventures business

Owain Thomas will build on private rental and healthcare development successes
23 hours ago

BAM Co-op Live Arena opening delayed yet again

Another gig cancelled last night amid last minute safety concerns
1 day ago

National Grid unveils winners for £9bn network upgrade

New 'enterprise model' to deliver infrastructure schemes quicker and cheaper
2 days ago

Turkish insulation panel maker to build £45m UK factory

Assan Panel to open first UK plant at Freeport East
1 day ago

Expanding consultant Stantec swoops for Hydrock

Stantec UK business expands by a third as 950 staff join from Bristol-based engineer
2 days ago

Contractors wanted for £800m highways deal

Bids invited for Eastern Highways Alliance Framework 4
1 day ago

Galliford Try names group head of infrastructure

David Lowery promoted to Divisional Managing Director – Infrastructure.
1 day ago

Chigwell Group looks at stock market listing

Essex contractor registers as Public Limited Company
2 days ago

A57 Mottram Bypass clears final legal challenge

Balfour Beatty to get go-ahead to start shortly
2 days ago

100 jobs axed as Geoffrey Osborne confirms administration

Chairman Andrew Osborne calls it a 'sad day' as board loses fight for survival
3 days ago

Midgard set for Notting Hill office tower overhaul

Landmark project edges towards final approval after 10-year planning saga
2 days ago

Cumbrian civils firm clinches £40m Sellafield contract

Civils specialist Stobbarts will support McAlpine on groundworks and concrete
2 days ago

Designers named for London 2000-bed student rooms job

Bouygues will build £400m London School of Economics student scheme next to Tate Modern
2 days ago

£117m-turnover contractor files administration notice

ARJ Construction lodges court notice
3 days ago

£1bn London Blackfriars tower blocks approved

Trio of buildings rising to 45, 40 and 22 storeys approved by Southwark Council
3 days ago

Council decides to end Balfour deal after 13 years

Contractor has been maintaining roads across Herefordshire since 2013
3 days ago

Six civils clients to switch to low carbon concrete and steel

National Highways, Northumbrian Water and Sellafield sign fresh decarbonising pledge
4 days ago

Fortem extends homes repair deal across Birmingham

Willmott Dixon owned firm adds another two years to deal worth £170m
3 days ago

Kier wins £118m civil service Darlington hub

Work is expected to start towards the end of this year
4 days ago

Green light for 34-storey Digbeth apartments tower

480 flats will be delivered for Clarion housing association
3 days ago

LHC starts race for major retrofit and decarb framework

Hunt starts for firms to help with 6.1m social homes upgrade target
4 days ago

Windows giant Everest crashes into administration

Around 350 jobs at risk while hunt starts for a buyer to salvage business
4 days ago

Green light for £500m Newcastle health complex

Mixed use scheme will promote healthy living across all stages of life
4 days ago

Contractor services