Commercial property investment surges

Aaron Morby 10 years ago
Share

Demand for commercial property is growing close to its fastest pace since 1998, triggering a surge in investment in new projects.

According to the latest RICS commercial market survey the recovery in demand is spreading beyond London.

Looking ahead surveyors expect, the office sector to perform most strongly with London leading the way despite increasing concerns over the valuation of prime property in the capital.

Significantly, there is also increasing confidence that the more upbeat mood will impact on secondary space with rents and capital projections positive in all locations.

The survey for the first part of 2015 marks the 10th consecutive quarterly acceleration of demand for commercial properties, with 46% more respondents seeing greater interest.

In the investment market, enquiries also increased significantly, with 49% more surveyors seeing more prospective investors – continuing the trend of rising demand which began towards the end of 2012. Overseas buyer interest also picked up on the previous quarter, with 34% more respondents seeing more enquiries from overseas investors compared to 17% in the previous quarter.

At the same time available spaced declined driving rental expectations  to the highest headline-level reading since 1998.

This was particularly apparent across the industrial and office sectors, while retail rental expectations continue to lag behind.

Simon Rubinsohn, RICS Chief Economist, said: “The strength of the latest commercial property survey suggests that the underlying momentum of the economy will continue to accelerate through the course of this year.

“What is particularly encouraging is that a better tone to the results is visible in all parts of the country and increasingly in secondary as well as prime space.

“Given that these indicators have historically provided a strong steer as to the performance of the economy two to three quarters out, it is hard not to be encouraged by the conclusions of this report.

Mark Bladon at Investec Structured Property Finance, said: “This lack of supply is also having an impact on investment strategies with more investors looking at alternative opportunities in the search for more attractive yields.

“Student accommodation has long been viewed as an ‘alternative’ asset class but Investec believes it could be now be viewed as mainstream.

“We are also seeing consolidation in other alternative property sectors such as serviced apartments and retirement living, where yields are higher.  For momentum to continue, or for the alternative sectors to reach their full potential, the financing market will need to remain nimble and innovative in the face of these shifting trends.”

Views from the regions

London: “Demand remains high while supply pipeline seems to be lagging as development completion dates are being delayed. This is having an effect of pushing rents up but there remains caution in the market ahead of the election.” –  Rupert Parker MRICS, City/Mid-town London, GVA Grimley.

East Midlands: “Strong demand for industrial space and lack of supply. This is likely to spur speculative development although there is still large disparity between new and second hand space. We expect industrial rents are likely to rise in the coming months.” – Andrew Nichols, Derby, Gadsby Nichols

West Midlands: “Without development, we are in big trouble, as lack of supply in all sectors – including offices – is now seeing phenomenal take-up. Without consistent supply, we will enter an exceptional bull market and the usual boom and bust pattern will repeat. In the meantime, it will be time to make hay.” – David Penn, Coventry & Birmingham, Shortland Penn + Moore

Yorkshire & Humber: “We are definitely in an improving market, although retail (with the exception of prime) within market towns does still give rise for concern. The investment market continues to move forward with investors showing an increased appetite for secondary/risky investments reflecting the improved economy.” – Malcolm Stuart, York, Malcolm Stuart Property Consultants

North West: “In simplistic terms: industrial sector warm, retail sector tepid, office sector cold.” – Paul Marshall Rochdale, Bolton Marshall

South West:  “Definite turnaround in demand in the first quarter. Offices do remain slow but we are now seeing some movement in that sector too. Industrial demand improving significantly and stock levels are shrinking.” – Dean Speer, Salisbury, Myddelton & Major

Latest news

Overbury set for major law firm fit-out win

Contractor tipped for 2 Aldermanbury Square win
2 days ago

China told to lift veil on ‘greyed-out’ London super embassy plans

Ministers give China two weeks to justify redactions in blueprints for £255m Royal Mint Court scheme
2 days ago

Mace wins £1.1bn British Library extension

Work to start on site next year after construction manager contract awarded
3 days ago

Spencer shunts Volker on £29m Waterbeach rail station job

VolkerFitzpatrick misses out despite early contractor involvement
3 days ago

Sisk set for £52m civils works on Wirral garden village

£52m infrastructure works to pave way for 1,600-home Hind Street regeneration
2 days ago

McLaughlin & Harvey scrubs in for £100m Guy’s surgical hub

Eight-storey London elective surgery hub secures government approval
2 days ago

Five bag £1.5bn Notting Hill Genesis home repairs framework

Axis, Cardo, Gilmartin, Wates and Ian Williams on long-term roster
2 days ago

Homes near new pylons to get money off electricity bills

Discounts for people faced with new infrastructure near their homes
2 days ago

Regulatory gridlock ‘knocks confidence’ in construction

RICS urges action as firms struggle with safety Gateway inconsistencies and regional planning delays
3 days ago

McLaren tops contract league with Ebury Estate rebuild

July order haul among top 50 firms rises 14%
3 days ago

Cheetham Hill Construction sold to staff

Howard Chamberlain to step-back from MD role after nearly 60 years
4 days ago

Buyers see sharpest fall in activity for five years

Grim July for construction as all sectors slump
4 days ago

Breheny bags Kent road upgrade contract

Work to start later this month on Maidstone site
3 days ago

Caddick breaks ground on £28m Bilston logistics park job

166,500 sq ft logistics hub to be built at Foundry Business Park
3 days ago

Mears grows profit as maintenance work ramps up

100% contract retention and rising margins deliver strong first-half performance
3 days ago

Cardiff to get 50-storey skyscraper in bold new tower plan

Developer ups height to 50 storeys for BTR landmark near Principality Stadium
4 days ago

Bid race starts for Manchester £1.6bn light rail infrastructure work

Up to ten bidders wanted to compete for Metrolink work
4 days ago

Competitive brick market sees Ibstock struggle to increase prices

Revenue rises but profits dip at materials giant
4 days ago

Collins starts major London city fringe office retrofit

30 Finsbury Square refurb scheme will transform office block
4 days ago

Civils boss banned over classic car sales

Director sold assets cheaply to sister company before folding
5 days ago

Ex-Kier director joins Stepnell to grow specialist units

Mike Smedley steps in as strategic director to lead growth push
4 days ago

Clegg wins £80m Leeds office scheme

Eight-storey office project to rise on former Wellington Plaza site
5 days ago

Avant Homes takes £107m fire safety hit as losses mount

Builder led by Jeff Fairburn lifts provision by £39m for legacy cladding repairs
5 days ago

Profit recovery continues at Laing O’Rourke

CEO Cathal O’Rourke vows to "push the boundaries of what’s possible, in service of humanity"
6 days ago

Torsion clears Gateway 2 for Leeds student scheme

Firm to share lessons from the Gateway 2 process on Kirkstall Road 10-storey job
5 days ago

Bouygues chosen to build new children’s hospital

Construction to start within next 18 months on Cambridge site
5 days ago

Firms readied for £145m Welsh bridge race

Bidding to start this month for River Dee bridge replacement job
6 days ago

Cladding training boost to accelerate remediation work

Free courses for installers and supervisors to help accelerate post-Grenfell work
5 days ago

JRL replaces Ardmore on £150m City landmark revamp

Malaysian developer IJM calls in part-owned contractor for 25 Finsbury Circus job
6 days ago

Green light for Bristol Brabazon over-station office block

YTL to start eight-storey HQ building above new train station ticket office
6 days ago