Brexit uncertainty stalls housing starts at 165,000 a year

Aaron Morby 6 years ago
Share

Housing starts stagnated at 165,160 last year, despite Government efforts to pump up housing supply to achieve its flaunted building target of 300,000 homes by the mid-2020s.

After steadily growing in recent years from a trough of around 75,000 in 2009, starts have remained at the 165,000 level for two years, according to the Government’s own figures.

The plateau is being blamed on Brexit uncertainty.

And other indicators for new home registrations in the first few months of 2019 suggest starts could have peaked, ending nearly a decade of slow but steady growth.

Last quarter of 2018 recent trend figures recorded private new build starts down 9% from the previous quarter, but completions edged up by 2%. Starts by housing associations are 11% lower compared to the last quarter, but completions are up by 4%.

Total completions matched starts at 165,090, an increase of 1% compared with last year.


Annual starts and completions

The latest figures suggest that the Government will struggle to achieve higher completions unless it can spark local authority housing delivery.


Post war housing completions by tenure

More up-to-date figures for NHBC registrations suggest housing starts could well have peaked.

For the rolling quarter, between December and February, 34,199 new homes registrations fell 2%. During this period private registrations fell -13% against last year while the smaller affordable homes sector rose by just over a third, offsetting much of the sharp private sector fall.

Against the slight decrease overall in registrations, half of the 12 UK regions experienced some growth in this period, including London (+17%), the North West (+11%) and the South East (+9%).

NHBC Chief Executive Steve Wood said: “Continuing the trend from January we are seeing strong numbers in the affordable sector but an understandable drop in the private sector amid the ongoing Brexit uncertainty.

NHBC – UK Registrations by region
England – Regions Dec 18 – Feb 19 YOY change
NORTH EAST 1,040 -24%
NORTH WEST & MERSEYSIDE 4,128 11%
YORKSHIRE & HUMBERSIDE 2,220 -4%
WEST MIDLANDS 3,190 3%
EAST MIDLANDS 2,448 -29%
EASTERN 3,098 -25%
SOUTH WEST 3,043 2%
LONDON 4,594 17%
SOUTH EAST 6,220 9%
TOTAL ENGLAND 29,981 -2%
SCOTLAND 2,201 -1%
WALES 1,075 -12%
NORTHERN IRELAND & ISLE OF MAN 942 52%
TOTAL UK 34,199 -1.5%

Latest news

Breakthrough for HS2 as first Birmingham tunnel section dug

Balfour Beatty VINCI completes 3.5km TBM drive in 652 days drive
5 hours ago

HS2 Curzon Street station redesign approved as timber roof axed

Change to meet stricter fire safety rules and cut maintenance costs
9 hours ago

Care home fire trial collapses

Prosecution withdrawn against four firms including Morgan Sindall Property Services
1 day ago

Leicester rebids £22m station revamp after failed tender race

Council opts for ECI route after receiving one bid for project
9 hours ago

Kier wins East Coast College rebuild job in Great Yarmouth

Work to start this summer for 1,300-student college
10 hours ago

R G Carter wins £28m hospital car park job in King’s Lynn

MSCP paves way for £1.5bn Queen Elizabeth Hospital rebuild in 2027
10 hours ago

London to relax green belt building rules

Sadiq Khan shifts position on planning
10 hours ago

Willmott Dixon wins Great Yarmouth waterfront deal

North Quay 10.5 acres mixed-use scheme to advance
1 day ago

SIG chief quits to join Travis Perkins

Gavin Slark to leave by the end of this year
10 hours ago

Eight take key spots on £250m Prosper framework

Housing and public building upkeep deal for North East awarded
1 day ago

Early call-out for £150m Ebbsfleet Garden City infrastructure

Bidders day to set out plan for Ebbsfleet Central commercial scheme
2 days ago

McLaren storms April contracts league with flurry of wins

Cardiff Bay Arena job headlines a series of big contract wins
1 day ago

Balfour Beatty lifts cash forecast after strong first quarter

Contractor set to hit £1bn average monthly net cash in 2025
1 day ago

Goldman Sachs-owned Adler & Allan buys 180-strong civils outfit

West Country's Glanville Environmental gets new owner
1 day ago

Caddick lands first contract for £200m Skelmersdale revamp

Developer gets green light for masterplan
1 day ago

Van Elle sells HGV fleet to haulage firm

WS Specialist Logistics pays £2.9m to take on fleet and drivers
1 day ago

Buyers more bullish about prospects for year ahead

Residential "resilient" but commercial work a weak spot
2 days ago

Council backs first Brutalist car park-to-flats scheme

Newcastle-under-Lyme multi-storey car park to be reborn as pioneering homes scheme
2 days ago

Hinkley Point C hits peak build with 26,000 jobs

3,000 more workers to join as fit-out work ramps up
2 days ago

Over 40 firms win Wessex Water M&E minor works deal

Broad sweep of specialists picked for AMP8 programme
2 days ago

Spencer lands Scottish bridge hat-trick

Steelwork, gantries and bearing upgrades on Kessock, Forth and Tay crossings
3 days ago

Winners revealed for £1.5bn decarbonisation deal

Fusion21 confirms places for 40 firms: Full list
2 days ago

Cladding firm fined £225,000 after fatal fall

Court hears how cherry picker didn't reach all parts of repair job
2 days ago

Completed buildings caught-up in Gateway 2 chaos

Developer distraught after dealing with Building Safety Regulator
3 days ago

Aviva submits plans for 34-storey City office tower

Subject to planning work to start in autumn 2027
3 days ago

Murphy takes 40% stake in Aussie civils contractor

Firm enters Australasian market with stake in Sydney-based contractor Abergeldie
4 days ago

Moat seeks firm for £420m repairs and maintenance deal

15-year deal to upkeep 20,000 south east homes
3 days ago

Lynch takes over hotel for Sizewell plant operators

Hire giant now in the hotel business to guarantee accommodation for workers
3 days ago

Subcontractors wanted across Scotland

Latest Constructionline event in Glasgow: Register now
3 days ago

Six guilty of £2m bribery over Devon housing site deals

Corrupt building bosses and E.ON project chief and QS sentenced
1 week ago

Contractor services