Tender prices stop falling

Grant Prior 14 years ago
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Contractors are expecting tender prices to remain static over the next six months as the market sees an end to the huge falls of  last year.

Tender prices fell once more in Q2 2010 according to the latest UK Construction Tender Price Index compiled by BCIS, the Building Cost Information Service of RICS.

But the fall in tender prices has been slowing dramatically over the last year from an annual fall of 13% in Q2 2009 to 4% in Q2 2010, with only a 0.5% quarterly fall inQ2 2010.

A recent BCIS survey of contractors also showed the majority are expecting tender prices to remain static over the next six months.

The upward push of the continued increase in resource costs is competing with the downward pull of uncertain future demand.

Material prices rose by 3.8% in Q2 2010 which is a 6.5% increase on 2009.

National statistics show significant increases in certain material costs, including concrete reinforcing bars,ceramic tiles and fabricated steel work. Sharp increases in annual materials prices are expected through to Q2 2011.

Average earnings within the construction industry remained unchanged in Q2 and nationally agreed wage rates are expected to rise just behind the rate of inflation until Q3 2011.

Peter Rumble, Information Services Manager at BCIS said: “Although new work output is expected to grow strongly in 2010, it is anticipated that tender prices will remain unchanged over the second half of this year, with new work output growth in 2011 slowing to a little above a position of no change.

“Quite strong input cost rises coming through in Q2 2010, feeding through into tender prices in the remainder of the year, are also likely to prevent tender prices from falling further in 2010.

“Consequently, tender prices are only expected to rise modestly in the year to Q3 2010. Over the second year of the forecast, withsubdued new work output growth in 2012, tender prices are likely to rise more or less in line with input costs.”

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